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Stocks ACVA DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is ACV Auctions Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on ACV Auctions Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $14.81 per share. The share price was $10.46 on September 25, 2026, 29% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$69.1M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$22.8M
Cash
$242.3M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
170,584,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
38.2%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$9.56-9%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$14.81+42%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$24.59+135%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$18.79$20.03$21.54$23.44$25.88
8.0%$15.80$16.60$17.56$18.70$20.09
9.0%$13.63$14.18$14.81$15.55$16.43
10.0%$11.98$12.37$12.81$13.32$13.90
11.0%$10.69$10.97$11.29$11.65$12.06

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at ACV Auctions Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (38.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

ACV Auctions Inc. company page