What is Abm Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Abm Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $28.53 per share. The share price was $49.78 on September 25, 2026, 74% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.0% | 10.0% | $7.52 | -85% |
| Base | 8.0% | 9.0% | $28.53 | -43% |
| Bull | 13.0% | 8.0% | $67.74 | +36% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $43.84 | $48.54 | $54.28 | $61.46 | $70.69 |
| 8.0% | $32.40 | $35.45 | $39.05 | $43.37 | $48.65 |
| 9.0% | $24.04 | $26.13 | $28.53 | $31.34 | $34.65 |
| 10.0% | $17.69 | $19.17 | $20.85 | $22.77 | $24.98 |
| 11.0% | $12.70 | $13.78 | $14.99 | $16.36 | $17.91 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Abm Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions