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Stocks AAT DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is American Assets Trust, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on American Assets Trust, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $23.95 per share. The share price was $21.55 on November 10, 2026, 10% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$94.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$93.3M
Cash
$89.6M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
76,736,547
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
4.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear0.0%1.0%2.0%10.0%$15.23-29%
Base5.0%4.0%2.5%9.0%$23.95+11%
Bull10.0%6.5%3.0%8.0%$40.23+87%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$30.19$32.09$34.41$37.31$41.03
8.0%$25.54$26.77$28.22$29.97$32.10
9.0%$22.14$22.98$23.95$25.08$26.42
10.0%$19.55$20.14$20.82$21.60$22.49
11.0%$17.51$17.94$18.43$18.99$19.61

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at American Assets Trust, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

American Assets Trust, Inc. company page